Our Current Outlook

Last adjustment on February 28th, 2011

Short-Term
1-3 months
Neutral After a strong rally since mid-2010 stock markets are now going into a sideways trading range. The market is trying to find its upper and lower boundaries over the next 3 months. Commodities continue to rise but could eventually see a blow-off top.  
Mid-term
6-12 months
Neutral

 When QEII ends in June the big question is whether there will be more easing ahead. We suspect that markets will stay in a trading range. If commodities see a blow-off top in the first quarter then they will likely come down in the second half of the year.

 

Long-term
1-3
years

 

 

Neutral 

In 2012 markets should see a correction and possibly a recession. That could be a buying opportunity but first of all a correction would be negative. 

 

 

 

 

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